Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.114799 0.136069 0.159872 0.188438 0.221745 0.259305 0.304829
2025-01-12 0.079061 0.105548 0.138556 0.182523 0.239344 0.310070 0.404528
2025-01-19 0.058326 0.085690 0.122849 0.176595 0.251857 0.352939 0.498306
2025-01-26 0.047696 0.075884 0.116983 0.180575 0.275617 0.411308 0.618305
2025-02-02 0.039766 0.067873 0.111486 0.183046 0.296177 0.466366 0.739343
2025-02-09 0.033437 0.060840 0.105831 0.183657 0.313024 0.516881 0.858653
2025-02-16 0.028864 0.055696 0.102077 0.186245 0.332629 0.573092 0.992452
2025-02-23 0.025893 0.052722 0.101329 0.193452 0.360337 0.644884 1.158895
2025-03-02 0.021699 0.046638 0.093997 0.187726 0.364518 0.677234 1.261979
2025-03-09 0.018965 0.042861 0.090256 0.187866 0.378904 0.728306 1.402426
2025-03-16 0.016375 0.038870 0.085421 0.185064 0.387160 0.768849 1.527662
2025-03-23 0.014843 0.036860 0.084224 0.189235 0.409214 0.836896 1.710369
2025-03-30 0.012981 0.033806 0.080464 0.187782 0.420274 0.886051 1.864153
2025-04-06 0.011147 0.030459 0.075539 0.183118 0.424124 0.921583 1.995398
2025-04-13 0.009529 0.027308 0.070524 0.177452 0.424985 0.950972 2.117130
2025-04-20 0.008719 0.026073 0.069800 0.181517 0.447724 1.028012 2.345042
2025-04-27 0.007919 0.024700 0.068509 0.184016 0.467156 1.099905 2.569075
2025-05-04 0.007124 0.023173 0.066576 0.184634 0.482213 1.163688 2.781687
2025-05-11 0.006510 0.022045 0.065495 0.187236 0.502313 1.240700 3.031021
2025-05-18 0.006143 0.021592 0.066161 0.194479 0.534705 1.348987 3.361410
2025-05-25 0.005342 0.019595 0.062198 0.188725 0.533542 1.378727 3.513113
2025-06-01 0.004834 0.018444 0.060470 0.188865 0.547623 1.446188 3.760098
2025-06-08 0.004297 0.017070 0.057841 0.186049 0.553483 1.494122 3.964579